Causality in the Social Sciences: a structural modelling framework

Quality & Quantity - There is no unified theory of causality in the sciences and in philosophy. In this paper, we focus on a particular framework, called structural causal modelling (SCM), as...     

How Campanian Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) Can Compete in the Global Agro-Food Industry

Importance of the agro-food industry in Italy and in Campania led us to investigate industry structure and small and medium enterprises' (SMEs) strategies for competing in the global scenario. We first analyzed the relevance of the Campanian agro-food system. Then we presented the results of face-to-face interviews to some SMEs. Through the interviews, we highlighted the SME value chain structures and their strategies to face global challenges. Most of the Campanian SMEs internationalize their activity by exporting their products abroad. Firms export in markets oriented to a high level of product quality—the main factor of Campanian agro-food SMEs' competitive advantage.     

Complementary Innovations And Generative Relationships: An Ethnographic Study

The paper presents an in-depth investigation on a promising innovation, kervit, in the histolical context of the booming ceramic industrial district of SassuoloScandiano (Emilia-Romagna region in Italy). The kervit was introduced and patented by a brilliant inventor operating within, and then leading, one of the first cdc companies of the booming district The innovation had strong technological advantages aqd good market potentialities, but in the middle of the 1960s, right in the stage of sharp growth of the ceramic district, it was unable to exploit its market success, nor was the inventor's company able to survive.

The joint use of the ebographic mathod and the notion of generative relationships, put forward by Lane and Maxfield (1997), marks an original contribution in the analysis both of the emergence of learning processes within a local productive system and of the role of dynamic complemwtarities in fostering the innovation dynamics.     

Museum and monument attendance and tourism flow: a time series analysis approach

This article takes a time-series analysis approach to evaluate the directions of causality between tourism flows, on the one side, and museum and monument attendance, on the other. We consider Italy as a case study, and analyse monthly data over the period January 1996 to December 2010. All the considered series are seasonally integrated, and co-integration links emerge. We focus on the error-correction mechanism among co-integrated time series to detect the directional link(s) of causality. Clear-cut results emerge: bi-directional causality exists in the long-run dynamics, but it is the long-run dynamics of visits to museums and monuments that mainly adjust to tourism variables (arrivals, overnights, average stays). In the short run, there are some causal effects going from the cultural sites’ attendance to tourism dynamics. The nonstationary nature of time series, their co-integration relationships and the direction of causal links suggest specific implications for tourism and cultural policies.     

The risk of falling house prices in Italy

This paper shows that Italian house market is less exposed to price shocks than the American one. Variations in the house price index in real terms have been studied along with the affordability ratio and the relation between house prices and rent levels for the period 1995–2004 in Italian provinces. Comparison with US data reveals greater overpricing in the US during the expansion phase (2000–2004). Although a speculative bubble in all US metropolitan areas considered does not emerge, US financial and economic structural factors make the US real estate sector more exposed to price shocks. To test the compatibility of Italian house prices with fundamentals an econometric model is designed to analyze the provincial house prices from 1995 to 2003.     

Capital Structure Decisions During a Firm's Life Cycle

The study reported here examines the financing choices of small and medium-sized firms, i.e., those most vulnerable to information and incentive problems, through the lens of the business life cycle. We argue that the controversy in the empirical literature regarding the determinants of capital structure decisions is based on a failure to take into account the different degrees of information opacity, and, consequently, firms' characteristics and needs at specific stages of their life cycles. The results show that, in a bank-oriented country, firms tend to adopt specific financing strategies and a different hierarchy of financial decision-making as they progress through the phases of their business life cycle. Contrary to conventional wisdom, debt is shown to be fundamental to business activities in the early stages, representing the first choice. By contrast, in the maturity stage, firms re-balance their capital structure, gradually substituting debt for internal capital, and for firms that have consolidated their business, the pecking-order theory shows a high degree of application. This financial life-cycle pattern seems to be homogeneous for different industries and consistent over time.